Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.012646e-04 0.000118 0.000135 0.000154 0.000175 0.000197 0.000222
2025-03-23 7.407994e-05 0.000098 0.000125 0.000158 0.000195 0.000236 0.000285
2025-03-30 5.753985e-05 0.000085 0.000118 0.000159 0.000209 0.000265 0.000334
2025-04-06 4.332971e-05 0.000072 0.000108 0.000155 0.000213 0.000282 0.000367
2025-04-13 3.192244e-05 0.000060 0.000097 0.000148 0.000214 0.000292 0.000392
2025-04-20 2.455766e-05 0.000052 0.000090 0.000146 0.000218 0.000307 0.000422
2025-04-27 1.879865e-05 0.000045 0.000084 0.000143 0.000222 0.000321 0.000449
2025-05-04 1.410299e-05 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000224 0.000332 0.000474
2025-05-11 1.158411e-05 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000234 0.000353 0.000511
2025-05-18 8.993873e-06 0.000032 0.000074 0.000142 0.000240 0.000368 0.000541
2025-05-25 6.949068e-06 0.000029 0.000071 0.000142 0.000246 0.000384 0.000570
2025-06-01 6.252215e-06 0.000029 0.000073 0.000149 0.000262 0.000413 0.000618
2025-06-08 4.775707e-06 0.000026 0.000071 0.000151 0.000270 0.000431 0.000653
2025-06-15 3.812380e-06 0.000025 0.000071 0.000154 0.000282 0.000456 0.000696
2025-06-22 2.835281e-06 0.000023 0.000069 0.000156 0.000291 0.000476 0.000734
2025-06-29 1.686401e-06 0.000019 0.000064 0.000152 0.000290 0.000483 0.000754
2025-07-06 8.142778e-07 0.000015 0.000058 0.000145 0.000286 0.000485 0.000768
2025-07-13 3.955026e-07 0.000013 0.000055 0.000142 0.000287 0.000495 0.000792
2025-07-20 1.514830e-07 0.000011 0.000052 0.000140 0.000289 0.000504 0.000815
2025-07-27 3.191508e-08 0.000009 0.000048 0.000137 0.000289 0.000512 0.000836
2025-08-03 7.305177e-09 0.000009 0.000048 0.000139 0.000299 0.000533 0.000874
2025-08-10 1.123165e-14 0.000007 0.000046 0.000139 0.000303 0.000547 0.000904
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000007 0.000045 0.000139 0.000308 0.000561 0.000934